The Doomsday Argument
The Doomsday Argument (otherwise known as a version of the Weak Anthropic Principle) is a fun subject to debate with your friends. From seemingly trivial premises it seeks to show that the risk that humankind will go extinct soon has been systematically underestimated. Nearly everybody's first reaction is that there must be something wrong with such an argument. Yet despite being subjected to intense scrutiny by a growing number of philosophers, no simple flaw in the argument has been identified. Essentially, the argument uses maths and probably to show that the fact that you are living right could be proof that the earth's population is about to plummet to a very low value in the near future. Check out http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument and http://www.anthropic-principle.com/primer1.html Check it out...



1 Comments:
The argument is rather simple. You are a random person. Your number in the line of all people having lived on earth and those who will live (which is bounded from above for obvious reasons) is maybe 60 x 10^9 and since you are random, most likely, you are located around the middle of this line. The total is 120 x 10^9 and with the current population growth the expected time left for the human race is very roughly around 500 years ;-)
Sorry, no much time left.....
regards, Kasper
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